TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12468458
Played Aug 21Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Petr Picek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 3–1 Petr Picek Petr Picek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Picek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.91 / Picek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Picek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12468458
Stefek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 173 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back22% 51 of 233
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 140
Picek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStefek3wins
AwayPicek1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderStefek leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPicek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek1Picek3n = 4Picek took 3 of 4
S2Stefek2Picek2n = 4split evenly
S3Stefek3Picek1n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
S4Stefek3Picek1n = 4Stefek took 3 of 4
S5Stefek2Picek1n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStefekPicekS − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match47.243.5+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 1157 vs 285 / 56947.7%50.1%552 / 1157 vs 285 / 569Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekStefek 1.91/Picek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 19 · 02:30M. Stefek—109111182P. Picek—121145113
WAug 13 · 03:28M. Stefek—711129113P. Picek—118101192
WAug 13 · 24:30M. Stefek—3101111113P. Picek—11128742
WAug 2 · 22:30M. Stefek—12138113P. Picek—10111181
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113
P. Picek10
LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WSep 1 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk1.57711119112P. Picek2.25119611133WAug 31 · 22:30J. Steffan1.9161191192P. Picek1.80118116113LAug 23 · 03:00P. Picek3.508740O. Kucirek1.281111113LAug 23 · 02:00O. Kucirek1.2811511113P. Picek3.50511841WAug 23 · 24:30P. Picek1.83127113113M. Smrcek1.83101171142WAug 22 · 23:00P. Picek1.80111111113J. Steffan1.91138461LAug 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk1.73119311113P. Picek2.0091111352
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