TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048066
Played Sep 1Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191169111113
Petr Picek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 13–4 Petr Picek Petr Picek has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Holovatiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Holovatiuk
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1579 vs Picek 1500
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 40% vs Picek 60%
Picek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Picek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk -1 · Picek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.57 / Picek 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048066
Holovatiuk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 81 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it79% 55 of 70
Picek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 26 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk7wins
AwayPicek3wins
8 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk60%3 of 5
AwayPicek20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk5Picek5n = 10split evenly
S2Holovatiuk7Picek3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S5Holovatiuk6Picek2n = 8Holovatiuk took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukPicekH − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.141.8+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 644 vs 279 / 55449.4%50.4%318 / 644 vs 279 / 554Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.57/Picek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—119311113P. Picek—91111352
WJul 28 · 02:59Y. Holovatiuk—1111511113P. Picek—13411782
WJul 28 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk—712125113P. Picek—1110101192
LMay 31 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk—11115222P. Picek—321111113
WMay 17 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk—11911113P. Picek—111251
WMay 17 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk—1011119113P. Picek—12651192
LMar 8 · 01:30Y. Holovatiuk—11115752P. Picek—671111113
WJan 25 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk—1416411113P. Picek—161411362
WJan 25 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—1111115113P. Picek—98131192
LJul 20 · 12:00Y. Holovatiuk—961151P. Picek—11116113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
P. Picek10
LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WAug 31 · 22:30J. Steffan1.9161191192P. Picek1.80118116113LAug 23 · 03:00P. Picek3.508740O. Kucirek1.281111113LAug 23 · 02:00O. Kucirek1.2811511113P. Picek3.50511841WAug 23 · 24:30P. Picek1.83127113113M. Smrcek1.83101171142WAug 22 · 23:00P. Picek1.80111111113J. Steffan1.91138461LAug 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk1.73119311113P. Picek2.0091111352WAug 21 · 03:28M. Stefek1.916670P. Picek1.801111113
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