TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087257
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Picek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119211911––
Marek Placek
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Marek Placek at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 5–20 Marek Placek Petr Picek has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-20 in 25
Placek
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1484 vs Placek 1436
Picek
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 40% vs Placek 20%
Picek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 50% vs Placek 30%
Picek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek -3 · Placek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Placek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Placek form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 2.63 / Placek 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Placek)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13087257
Picek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Placek1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek3wins
AwayPlacek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlacek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek50%2 of 4
AwayPlacek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek4Placek6n = 10Placek took 6 of 10
S2Picek5Placek5n = 10split evenly
S3Picek4Placek6n = 10Placek took 6 of 10
S4Picek3Placek5n = 8Placek took 5 of 8
S5Picek1Placek2n = 3Placek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekPlacekPicek − PlacekBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.041.0−5.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 550 vs 203 / 39150%51.9%275 / 550 vs 203 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekPicek 2.63/Placek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek—711291M. Placek—11911113
LJun 28 · 03:30P. Picek—7680M. Placek—1111113
LJun 27 · 22:30P. Picek—11511642M. Placek—911711113
WMay 24 · 22:30P. Picek—13611113M. Placek—1111541
WMay 10 · 01:00P. Picek—811911113M. Placek—11911792
LMay 5 · 23:00P. Picek—751181M. Placek—11114113
WApr 25 · 01:30P. Picek—1211133M. Placek—109110
LApr 14 · 01:00P. Picek—1113941M. Placek—131111113
LMar 23 · 04:30P. Picek—116711102M. Placek—911118123
LMar 23 · 02:30P. Picek—6125101M. Placek—111011123
P. Picek10
LSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WSep 1 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk1.57711119112P. Picek2.25119611133WAug 31 · 22:30J. Steffan1.9161191192P. Picek1.80118116113LAug 23 · 03:00P. Picek3.508740O. Kucirek1.281111113LAug 23 · 02:00O. Kucirek1.2811511113P. Picek3.50511841WAug 23 · 24:30P. Picek1.83127113113M. Smrcek1.83101171142WAug 22 · 23:00P. Picek1.80111111113J. Steffan1.91138461
M. Placek10
LSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172
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