TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087581
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Placek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811114311711––
Jan Steffan
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 66 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Marek Placek at 65.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 18–7 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 7 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:23What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Placek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-7 in 25
Placek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1411 vs Steffan 1400
Placek
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 40% vs Steffan 0%
Placek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 40% vs Steffan 20%
Placek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek +1 · Steffan -5
Steffan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Placek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 1.40 / Steffan 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Placek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087581
Placek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Steffan2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 93 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlacek4wins
AwaySteffan6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySteffan71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S2Placek6Steffan4n = 10Placek took 6 of 10
S3Placek5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S4Placek7Steffan2n = 9Placek took 7 of 9
S5Placek1Steffan4n = 5Steffan took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlacekSteffanP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.338.4+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 392 vs 463 / 96851.8%47.8%203 / 392 vs 463 / 968Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekPlacek 1.40/Steffan 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek—811371J. Steffan—11411113
LMay 22 · 23:00M. Placek—711511132J. Steffan—113114153
WMar 23 · 01:00M. Placek—1113113J. Steffan—91180
WFeb 10 · 04:30M. Placek—11411113J. Steffan—911491
WFeb 10 · 02:00M. Placek—51111113J. Steffan—114961
LDec 2 · 14:00M. Placek—11871182J. Steffan—611113113
LDec 2 · 11:00M. Placek—1061171J. Steffan—12113113
LOct 6 · 22:00M. Placek—86111192J. Steffan—111147113
WOct 1 · 24:30M. Placek—711911113J. Steffan—11611912
LSep 15 · 03:30M. Placek—111491192J. Steffan—1312114113
M. Placek10
WSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172
J. Steffan10
LSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113
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