TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086850
Played Sep 8Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161141210––––
Marek Placek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 30–32 Marek Placek Kyryl Darin has won 30 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-32 in 62
Placek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1392 vs Placek 1411
Placek
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Placek 20%
Darin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Placek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +1 · Placek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Placek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.67 / Placek 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Darin)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13086850
Darin1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 163 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it91% 83 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it74% 113 of 153
Placek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 36 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin6wins
AwayPlacek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin83.3%5 of 6
AwayPlacek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Placek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin8Placek2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S3Darin7Placek3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Darin1Placek5n = 6Placek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinPlacekD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.932.2+5.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1547 vs 203 / 39248.4%51.8%749 / 1547 vs 203 / 392Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.67/Placek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 17:00K. Darin—51111123M. Placek—1189101
LSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin—1111111032M. Placek—951312113
WAug 28 · 17:30K. Darin—111179143M. Placek—771111122
LAug 28 · 15:00K. Darin—10118131M. Placek—12711153
WJul 31 · 22:00K. Darin—1111113M. Placek—5370
LJun 27 · 23:30K. Darin—791161M. Placek—11118113
WMay 25 · 24:00K. Darin—1111113M. Placek—0000
WMay 22 · 22:00K. Darin—1111113M. Placek—5580
WMay 9 · 22:00K. Darin—1111123M. Placek—96100
LMay 3 · 08:30K. Darin—1081151M. Placek—12118113
K. Darin10
WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113
M. Placek10
LSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113WSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113
Upcoming Matches
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