TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086853
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181177111210––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 64.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 1–1 Kyryl Darin Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1497 vs Darin 1359
Vitrovyj
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 100% vs Darin 60%
Vitrovyj
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Darin 40%
Vitrovyj
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +5 · Darin +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 3.25 / Darin 1.33
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Darin)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13086853
Vitrovyj3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Darin1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 163 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it91% 83 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it74% 113 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVitrovyj1wins
AwayDarin1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVitrovyjDarinV − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.040.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 654 vs 748 / 154653.1%48.4%347 / 654 vs 748 / 1546Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinVitrovyj 3.25/Darin 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj—11114113K. Darin—681141
LJun 7 · 14:30O. Vitrovyj—129111052K. Darin—1011712113
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113
K. Darin10
WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113
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