TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104117
Played Sep 9Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141210211116119
Jan Steffan
Away
1.56
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Steffan at 60.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 15–28 Jan Steffan Tomas Regner has won 15 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-28 in 43
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 13 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1399 vs Steffan 1403
Steffan
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Steffan 60%
Steffan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 20% vs Steffan 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Steffan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.13 / Steffan 1.56
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Steffan)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104117
Regner2.13
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 118 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back25% 35 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Steffan1.56
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it80% 105 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwaySteffan7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegnern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySteffan75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner2Steffan8n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S2Regner5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Regner7Steffan3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S4Regner1Steffan9n = 10Steffan took 9 of 10
S5Regner2Steffan1n = 3Regner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerSteffanR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.242.1−2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 974 vs 462 / 96849.5%47.7%482 / 974 vs 462 / 968Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanRegner 2.13/Steffan 1.56
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 03:29T. Regner—11116113J. Steffan—581181
LAug 2 · 01:00T. Regner—1091111J. Steffan—12116113
LJul 31 · 01:30T. Regner—1061161J. Steffan—12116113
WJul 28 · 22:30T. Regner—711139113J. Steffan—119111142
LJul 26 · 22:30T. Regner—1111571J. Steffan—41311113
WJul 15 · 02:00T. Regner—911136113J. Steffan—114111182
LJul 12 · 23:30T. Regner—9101141J. Steffan—11127113
LJun 28 · 22:00T. Regner—91111772J. Steffan—117811113
LJun 22 · 19:00T. Regner—10136111J. Steffan—121111133
LJun 19 · 01:00T. Regner—4911111J. Steffan—11118133
T. Regner10
LSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930WSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391LSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113LSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113
J. Steffan10
LSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113LSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192WSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113LSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172
Upcoming Matches
T. Regner1 of 5 neutral
J. Steffan
Nothing scheduled
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