TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099157
Played Sep 9Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119113––––
Tomas Regner
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Julius Didi at 60.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 14–6 Tomas Regner Tomas Regner has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:44What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Didi
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1358 vs Regner 1416
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 20% vs Regner 40%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 30% vs Regner 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -3 · Regner +1
Didi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Didi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.57 / Regner 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Didi)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099157
Didi1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 101 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it88% 51 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it73% 74 of 101
Regner2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 118 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back25% 35 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidi9wins
AwayRegner1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDidi leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi83.3%5 of 6
AwayRegner0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi6Regner4n = 10Didi took 6 of 10
S2Didi7Regner3n = 10Didi took 7 of 10
S3Didi8Regner2n = 10Didi took 8 of 10
S4Didi5Regner1n = 6Didi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidiRegnerD − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.832.2+8.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 762 vs 482 / 97351.2%49.5%390 / 762 vs 482 / 973Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.57/Regner 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 20:30J. Didi—1111113T. Regner—7860
WAug 30 · 19:00J. Didi—91411113T. Regner—1112591
WAug 19 · 23:00J. Didi—51211113T. Regner—1110591
LAug 18 · 03:00J. Didi—11101061T. Regner—41212113
WAug 18 · 02:00J. Didi—111412113T. Regner—8121481
WAug 9 · 08:30J. Didi—1111113T. Regner—1350
WAug 8 · 20:30J. Didi—931111173T. Regner—111167152
WAug 8 · 07:00J. Didi—1111113T. Regner—8860
WAug 6 · 20:00J. Didi—1112113T. Regner—61030
WAug 4 · 18:00J. Didi—1061111173T. Regner—121146152
J. Didi10
LSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113WSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162WSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113LSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450
T. Regner10
LSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113WSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692WSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391LSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113LSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121
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