TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105451
Played Sep 9Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118411117911
Martin Stefek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 23–22 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Didi beat Stefek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Didi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.61 / Stefek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Didi)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105451
Didi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 101 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it88% 51 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it73% 74 of 101
Stefek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 187 of 437
Down 0–1, comes back22% 55 of 246
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidi5wins
AwayStefek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi60%3 of 5
AwayStefek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S2Didi7Stefek3n = 10Didi took 7 of 10
S3Didi4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Didi3Stefek3n = 6split evenly
S5Didi1Stefek2n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidiStefekD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.033.0+6.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 764 vs 573 / 120251.4%47.7%393 / 764 vs 573 / 1202Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.61/Stefek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi—1111113M. Stefek—4450
LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi—1198101M. Stefek—11111123
WAug 30 · 20:59J. Didi—11119113M. Stefek—751161
LAug 30 · 18:00J. Didi—1111101182M. Stefek—481213113
LAug 28 · 23:00J. Didi—81190M. Stefek—1113113
LAug 22 · 01:30J. Didi—10570M. Stefek—1211113
WAug 16 · 16:30J. Didi—1112123M. Stefek—710100
LAug 15 · 10:30J. Didi—711118122M. Stefek—114111143
WAug 14 · 20:59J. Didi—6111011113M. Stefek—11512672
WAug 14 · 19:00J. Didi—101111113M. Stefek—122491
J. Didi10
WSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162WSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930LSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450
M. Stefek10
WSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113LSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113WSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102WSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:00V. Dolezal1.61411811123M. Stefek2.20116117102LSep 9 · 06:30M. Stefek1.83811101172J. Pleskot1.83119129113LSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113WSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450
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