TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103172
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61113113111161210
Julius Didi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10
94 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 22–23 Julius Didi Martin Stefek has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Stefek beat Didi 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.73 / Didi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stefek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103172
Stefek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 123 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it75% 90 of 120
Didi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 96 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek5wins
AwayDidi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek60%3 of 5
AwayDidi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek5Didi5n = 10split evenly
S2Stefek3Didi7n = 10Didi took 7 of 10
S3Stefek6Didi4n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Stefek3Didi3n = 6split evenly
S5Stefek2Didi1n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekDidiS − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.039.0−6.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime571 / 1199 vs 390 / 76147.6%51.3%571 / 1199 vs 390 / 761Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.73/Didi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:30M. Stefek—4450J. Didi—1111113
WSep 4 · 18:00M. Stefek—11111123J. Didi—1198101
LAug 30 · 20:59M. Stefek—751161J. Didi—11119113
WAug 30 · 18:00M. Stefek—481213113J. Didi—1111101182
WAug 28 · 23:00M. Stefek—1113113J. Didi—81190
WAug 22 · 01:30M. Stefek—1211113J. Didi—10570
LAug 16 · 16:30M. Stefek—710100J. Didi—1112123
WAug 15 · 10:30M. Stefek—114111143J. Didi—711118122
LAug 14 · 20:59M. Stefek—11512672J. Didi—6111011113
LAug 14 · 19:00M. Stefek—122491J. Didi—101111113
M. Stefek10
WSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:00V. Dolezal1.61411811123M. Stefek2.20116117102LSep 9 · 06:30M. Stefek1.83811101172J. Pleskot1.83119129113LSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113WSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102WSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162WSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113
J. Didi10
LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113
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