TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099029
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116511611––
Julius Didi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 66 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Julius Didi at 58.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 22–23 Julius Didi Martin Stefek has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 6h before this match
Stefek beat Didi 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-23 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1371 vs Didi 1374
Didi
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 60% vs Didi 40%
Stefek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 70% vs Didi 40%
Stefek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek +3 · Didi +1
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.83 / Didi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stefek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099029
Stefek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Didi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek5wins
AwayDidi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek60%3 of 5
AwayDidi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek5Didi5n = 10split evenly
S2Stefek3Didi7n = 10Didi took 7 of 10
S3Stefek6Didi4n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Stefek3Didi3n = 6split evenly
S5Stefek2Didi1n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekDidiS − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.039.0−6.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime573 / 1201 vs 391 / 76347.7%51.3%573 / 1201 vs 391 / 763Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.83/Didi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:30M. Stefek—4450J. Didi—1111113
WSep 4 · 18:00M. Stefek—11111123J. Didi—1198101
LAug 30 · 20:59M. Stefek—751161J. Didi—11119113
WAug 30 · 18:00M. Stefek—481213113J. Didi—1111101182
WAug 28 · 23:00M. Stefek—1113113J. Didi—81190
WAug 22 · 01:30M. Stefek—1211113J. Didi—10570
LAug 16 · 16:30M. Stefek—710100J. Didi—1112123
WAug 15 · 10:30M. Stefek—114111143J. Didi—711118122
LAug 14 · 20:59M. Stefek—11512672J. Didi—6111011113
LAug 14 · 19:00M. Stefek—122491J. Didi—101111113
M. Stefek10
WSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113WSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102WSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:00V. Dolezal1.61411811123M. Stefek2.20116117102LSep 9 · 06:30M. Stefek1.83811101172J. Pleskot1.83119129113LSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113WSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102WSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162WSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123
J. Didi10
WSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930LSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113
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