TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105318
Played Sep 9Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Jan Steffan
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 16–29 Jan Steffan Tomas Regner has won 16 of their 45 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Steffan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.25 / Steffan 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Steffan)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105318
Regner2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 118 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back25% 35 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Steffan1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it80% 105 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner4wins
AwaySteffan6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegnern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySteffan62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner2Steffan8n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S2Regner5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Regner7Steffan3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S4Regner2Steffan8n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S5Regner3Steffan1n = 4Regner took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerSteffanR − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.9−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 976 vs 462 / 97049.5%47.6%483 / 976 vs 462 / 970Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanRegner 2.25/Steffan 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner—1212211113J. Steffan—141011692
LAug 31 · 18:30T. Regner—771191J. Steffan—11115113
WAug 2 · 03:29T. Regner—11116113J. Steffan—581181
LAug 2 · 01:00T. Regner—1091111J. Steffan—12116113
LJul 31 · 01:30T. Regner—1061161J. Steffan—12116113
WJul 28 · 22:30T. Regner—711139113J. Steffan—119111142
LJul 26 · 22:30T. Regner—1111571J. Steffan—41311113
WJul 15 · 02:00T. Regner—911136113J. Steffan—114111182
LJul 12 · 23:30T. Regner—9101141J. Steffan—11127113
LJun 28 · 22:00T. Regner—91111772J. Steffan—117811113
T. Regner10
LSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113WSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930WSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391LSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113LSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102LSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121
J. Steffan10
LSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162LSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113LSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192WSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113LSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661
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