TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087585
Played Sep 8Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117116––––
Oleg Vitrovyj
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Oleg Vitrovyj below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 59.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 4–15 Oleg Vitrovyj Jan Steffan has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:22What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vitrovyj
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-15 in 19
Vitrovyj
Wrong
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1400 vs Vitrovyj 1497
Vitrovyj
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 20% vs Vitrovyj 100%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 30% vs Vitrovyj 70%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan +1 · Vitrovyj +5
Vitrovyj
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vitrovyj) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitrovyj form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 2.00 / Vitrovyj 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087585
Steffan2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 93 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Vitrovyj1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 115 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it91% 67 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 84 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan1wins
AwayVitrovyj9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan0%0 of 6
AwayVitrovyj75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan6Vitrovyj4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S2Steffan4Vitrovyj6n = 10Vitrovyj took 6 of 10
S3Steffan2Vitrovyj8n = 10Vitrovyj took 8 of 10
S4Steffan0Vitrovyj9n = 9Vitrovyj took 9 of 9
S5Steffan1Vitrovyj2n = 3Vitrovyj took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanVitrovyjS − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.542.1−10.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanVitrovyjBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 968 vs 347 / 65447.8%53.1%463 / 968 vs 347 / 654Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjSteffan 2.00/Vitrovyj 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.1%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 22:30J. Steffan—9460O. Vitrovyj—1111113
LJul 29 · 01:30J. Steffan—117251O. Vitrovyj—71111113
LJul 23 · 23:00J. Steffan—1111114112O. Vitrovyj—861311133
WJul 16 · 22:00J. Steffan—1011115113O. Vitrovyj—12691182
LJul 15 · 03:28J. Steffan—113621O. Vitrovyj—61111113
LJul 14 · 22:30J. Steffan—1112921O. Vitrovyj—91411113
LJul 13 · 03:30J. Steffan—5311101O. Vitrovyj—11116123
LJul 12 · 22:30J. Steffan—11114352O. Vitrovyj—871111113
LJun 28 · 23:00J. Steffan—1011351O. Vitrovyj—12411113
LJun 19 · 02:00J. Steffan—116821O. Vitrovyj—81111113
J. Steffan10
WSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113LSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672LSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661LSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 5 · 02:58D. Horak1.407770J. Steffan2.751111113LSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180LSep 5 · 01:00K. Darin1.671112113J. Steffan2.1081040WSep 4 · 23:30J. Steffan3.4011118123D. Horak1.308511101
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772
Upcoming Matches
J. Steffan
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O. Vitrovyj
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