TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100760
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711911––––
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1402 vs Tymofeev 1408
Tymofeev
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 80% vs Tymofeev 60%
Stetsenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 70% vs Tymofeev 40%
Stetsenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko -1 · Tymofeev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 2.20 / Tymofeev 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Tymofeev)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100760
Stetsenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 99 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back25% 32 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 63
Tymofeev1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 91 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 66 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 840 vs 274 / 53052.3%51.7%439 / 840 vs 274 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevStetsenko 2.20/Tymofeev 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tymofeev won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 9 · 13:30M. Stetsenko2.75641181A. Kovalenko1.4011117113WSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261WSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113WSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113WSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 9 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.40119117113F. Voinarovskyi2.7581131152LSep 9 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.201112133O. Tymofeev1.61710110WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171
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