TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100567
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1168111412116––
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeFedir Voinarovskyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 79 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Fedir Voinarovskyi at 62.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 7–11 Fedir Voinarovskyi Maksym Stetsenko has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1416 vs Voinarovskyi 1456
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 100% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Stetsenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 70% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Stetsenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko +5 · Voinarovskyi -1
Stetsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Voinarovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 2.63 / Voinarovskyi 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13100567
Stetsenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 99 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back25% 32 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 63
Voinarovskyi1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 45 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko3wins
AwayVoinarovskyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVoinarovskyi87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko2Voinarovskyi8n = 10Voinarovskyi took 8 of 10
S2Stetsenko3Voinarovskyi7n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Stetsenko4Voinarovskyi6n = 10Voinarovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Stetsenko3Voinarovskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoVoinarovskyiS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.536.3−4.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 839 vs 175 / 34552.3%50.7%439 / 839 vs 175 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiStetsenko 2.63/Voinarovskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko—11814113F. Voinarovskyi—6111261
WAug 27 · 08:50M. Stetsenko—31111113F. Voinarovskyi—116891
LFeb 16 · 10:20M. Stetsenko—74100F. Voinarovskyi—1111123
LNov 10 · 05:30M. Stetsenko—6760F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
LNov 8 · 11:00M. Stetsenko—86111192F. Voinarovskyi—111198113
LNov 1 · 07:00M. Stetsenko—4470F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
LOct 27 · 05:30M. Stetsenko—51040F. Voinarovskyi—1112113
LOct 25 · 06:30M. Stetsenko—1081141F. Voinarovskyi—12113113
LOct 24 · 10:35M. Stetsenko—1011771F. Voinarovskyi—12311113
WOct 20 · 08:00M. Stetsenko—1111411113F. Voinarovskyi—27111332
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113WSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113WSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi3.001311113E. Populovskyi1.3611370
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