TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089263
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117117511611911
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 66.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 5–21 Maksym Stetsenko Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 5 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-21 in 26
Stetsenko
Correct
gap of 16 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1306 vs Stetsenko 1394
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 40% vs Stetsenko 100%
Stetsenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Stetsenko 60%
Stetsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -2 · Stetsenko +5
Stetsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 2.63 / Stetsenko 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Stetsenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089263
Mytsyk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 63 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Stetsenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 124 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it99% 74 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it89% 98 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk2wins
AwayStetsenko8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStetsenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk2Stetsenko8n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S2Mytsyk3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S3Mytsyk6Stetsenko4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk2Stetsenko6n = 8Stetsenko took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykStetsenkoM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.240.1−5.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime529 / 1068 vs 441 / 84149.5%52.4%529 / 1068 vs 441 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoMytsyk 2.63/Stetsenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:35O. Mytsyk—6111241M. Stetsenko—11714113
LSep 3 · 08:50O. Mytsyk—951151M. Stetsenko—11119113
LSep 2 · 13:30O. Mytsyk—81111111M. Stetsenko—11139133
WAug 31 · 12:20O. Mytsyk—311112113M. Stetsenko—116111012
LAug 26 · 12:00O. Mytsyk—11711101M. Stetsenko—81113123
LAug 23 · 11:10O. Mytsyk—851351M. Stetsenko—111111113
LAug 20 · 12:20O. Mytsyk—76111152M. Stetsenko—111139113
WAug 19 · 13:00O. Mytsyk—1111113M. Stetsenko—8690
LAug 17 · 10:50O. Mytsyk—671161M. Stetsenko—11114113
LAug 16 · 12:00O. Mytsyk—67140M. Stetsenko—1111163
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113WSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241
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