TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089043
Played Sep 7Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121311711119119
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 67.3%
104 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 0–1 Oleksandr Mytsyk Vitalii Korniichuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1319 vs Mytsyk 1317
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 60% vs Mytsyk 40%
Korniichuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 60% vs Mytsyk 40%
Korniichuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk -1 · Mytsyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 2.10 / Mytsyk 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089043
Korniichuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back24% 9 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Mytsyk1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it89% 83 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it78% 127 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKorniichuk0wins
AwayMytsyk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMytsyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKorniichukMytsykK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match56.059.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 502 vs 530 / 106855.2%49.6%277 / 502 vs 530 / 1068Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykKorniichuk 2.10/Mytsyk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 24 · 08:05V. Korniichuk—1181113132O. Mytsyk—9111311153
V. Korniichuk10
LSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113LSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581
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