TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088606
Played Sep 7Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214311311––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 54 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 61.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 48–34 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 34 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-34 in 82
Stukalov
Wrong
gap of 14 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1242 vs Stetsenko 1377
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Stetsenko 60%
Stetsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 30% vs Stetsenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -1 · Stetsenko +3
Stetsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.50 / Stetsenko 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Stetsenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13088606
Stukalov2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 102 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Stetsenko1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 124 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it99% 74 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it89% 98 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov4wins
AwayStetsenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStetsenko62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov2Stetsenko8n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S2Stukalov8Stetsenko2n = 10Stukalov took 8 of 10
S3Stukalov4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov2Stetsenko6n = 8Stetsenko took 6 of 8
S5Stukalov2Stetsenko1n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovStetsenkoStukalov − StetsenkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.1−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 812 vs 439 / 83950.5%52.3%410 / 812 vs 439 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoStukalov 2.50/Stetsenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 10 · 09:30V. Stukalov—610100M. Stetsenko—1112123
LJun 27 · 07:30V. Stukalov—611961M. Stetsenko—11411113
LJun 21 · 15:40V. Stukalov—6121161M. Stetsenko—111013113
WJun 11 · 11:05V. Stukalov—121112113M. Stetsenko—1491021
LJun 10 · 05:00V. Stukalov—611821M. Stetsenko—11711113
WJun 8 · 05:30V. Stukalov—811119113M. Stetsenko—11661172
LJun 4 · 08:35V. Stukalov—91151192M. Stetsenko—113119113
LJun 1 · 05:30V. Stukalov—116891M. Stetsenko—61111113
WMay 30 · 05:00V. Stukalov—1112113M. Stetsenko—81060
WMay 28 · 07:30V. Stukalov—412125113M. Stetsenko—1110101182
V. Stukalov10
LSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113
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