TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100534
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11712101311––––
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 64 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 54.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 1–0 Oleksandr Tymofeev Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tymofeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1411 vs Tymofeev 1396
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 40% vs Tymofeev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 30% vs Tymofeev 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko -1 · Tymofeev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 2.20 / Tymofeev 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Tymofeev)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100534
Ovsiienko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 80 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Tymofeev1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 91 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 66 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOvsiienko1wins
AwayTymofeev0wins
Ovsiienko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOvsiienkoTymofeevO − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.028.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 853 vs 273 / 52952.2%51.6%445 / 853 vs 273 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevOvsiienko 2.20/Tymofeev 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko—1112133O. Tymofeev—710110
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652WSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113LSep 7 · 09:05O. Leonenko1.50791111113O. Ovsiienko2.5011119772WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113
Upcoming Matches
O. Ovsiienko
O. Tymofeev
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.