TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100660
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911113711115
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 68.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 5–0 Fedir Voinarovskyi Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Tymofeev
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1396 vs Voinarovskyi 1456
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 40% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 30% vs Voinarovskyi 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev -1 · Voinarovskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.40 / Voinarovskyi 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Tymofeev)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100660
Tymofeev1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 91 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 66 of 74
Voinarovskyi2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 28 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeTymofeev5wins
AwayVoinarovskyi0wins
Tymofeev leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev100%5 of 5
AwayVoinarovskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev5Voinarovskyi0n = 5Tymofeev took 5 of 5
S2Tymofeev5Voinarovskyi0n = 5Tymofeev took 5 of 5
S3Tymofeev3Voinarovskyi2n = 5Tymofeev took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricTymofeevVoinarovskyiT − VBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match38.428.8+9.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 529 vs 175 / 34551.6%50.7%273 / 529 vs 175 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.40/Voinarovskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 29 · 12:30O. Tymofeev—111683F. Voinarovskyi—91450
WAug 13 · 14:00O. Tymofeev—1111113F. Voinarovskyi—7470
WAug 11 · 17:40O. Tymofeev—13117113F. Voinarovskyi—1191171
WAug 4 · 12:40O. Tymofeev—1117113F. Voinarovskyi—71560
WFeb 12 · 15:10O. Tymofeev—11129113F. Voinarovskyi—3101181
O. Tymofeev10
LSep 9 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.201112133O. Tymofeev1.61710110WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 9 · 12:00M. Stetsenko2.6311814113F. Voinarovskyi1.446111261LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683
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