TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095381
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Oleksandr V Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 85.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 24–6 Oleksandr V Kovalchuk Oleksandr V Kovalchuk has won 6 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-6 in 30
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 18 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1889 vs Kovalchuk 1398
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 491 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 80% vs Kovalchuk 20%
Dukhovenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 90% vs Kovalchuk 20%
Dukhovenko
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +1 · Kovalchuk -4
Kovalchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.17 / Kovalchuk 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095381
Dukhovenko1.17
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 209 of 284
Up 2–0, closes it98% 129 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it91% 163 of 179
Kovalchuk4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 82 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko9wins
AwayKovalchuk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayKovalchukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko8Kovalchuk2n = 10Dukhovenko took 8 of 10
S2Dukhovenko9Kovalchuk1n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S3Dukhovenko8Kovalchuk2n = 10Dukhovenko took 8 of 10
S4Dukhovenko3Kovalchuk2n = 5Dukhovenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoKovalchukD − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.726.2+11.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 849 vs 328 / 78562.7%41.8%532 / 849 vs 328 / 785Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.17/Kovalchuk 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 20 · 04:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113O. Kovalchuk—7260
WJun 2 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko—11911113O. Kovalchuk—211851
WJun 1 · 04:25O. Dukhovenko—41111113O. Kovalchuk—115941
WMay 30 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko—11119113O. Kovalchuk—831141
WFeb 27 · 18:55O. Dukhovenko—1111113O. Kovalchuk—7430
WFeb 22 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko—511119113O. Kovalchuk—11971172
WFeb 14 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko—1111103O. Kovalchuk—5950
WFeb 10 · 23:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113O. Kovalchuk—7970
WJan 31 · 23:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113O. Kovalchuk—6740
LJan 30 · 14:25O. Dukhovenko—11115992O. Kovalchuk—691111113
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860LSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133WSep 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.061111113E. Rubtsov8.007550LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113
O. Kovalchuk10
WSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.2011911113O. Mishchenko1.61511531WSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.83111177113E. Rubtsov1.8345111182LSep 9 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.5061O. Kovalchuk2.5030WSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460WSep 9 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.574760O. Kovalchuk2.251111113LSep 8 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.73951111113O. Kovalchuk2.0011118532LSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113LSep 3 · 18:25E. Rubtsov2.0081211113O. Kovalchuk1.731110541LSep 3 · 16:25S. Ponomarenko1.041114113O. Kovalchuk9.0071270
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