TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095377
Played Sep 9Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711611––––
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timePavel Plakushchyi to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Oleksandr V Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Pavel Plakushchyi at 60.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 69–35 Oleksandr V Kovalchuk Oleksandr V Kovalchuk has won 35 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Plakushchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-35 in 104
Plakushchyi
Wrong
gap of 34 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1576 vs Kovalchuk 1421
Plakushchyi
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 20% vs Kovalchuk 0%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 20% vs Kovalchuk 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi +1 · Kovalchuk -5
Kovalchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Plakushchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 1.57 / Kovalchuk 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Plakushchyi)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13095377
Plakushchyi1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Kovalchuk2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 82 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi8wins
AwayKovalchuk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlakushchyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi75%3 of 4
AwayKovalchuk16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi4Kovalchuk6n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S2Plakushchyi5Kovalchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Plakushchyi9Kovalchuk1n = 10Plakushchyi took 9 of 10
S4Plakushchyi6Kovalchuk2n = 8Plakushchyi took 6 of 8
S5Plakushchyi2Kovalchuk1n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiKovalchukP − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.233.3+6.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 681 vs 328 / 78644.1%41.7%300 / 681 vs 328 / 786Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiPlakushchyi 1.57/Kovalchuk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi—4760O. Kovalchuk—1111113
WSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi—61111113O. Kovalchuk—118781
WSep 3 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi—9111111113O. Kovalchuk—11981372
WAug 26 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi—1111113O. Kovalchuk—2880
WAug 26 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi—121111113O. Kovalchuk—1013181
WAug 24 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi—61111113O. Kovalchuk—116341
WAug 20 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi—81111113O. Kovalchuk—119661
LAug 18 · 21:25P. Plakushchyi—11711782O. Kovalchuk—611711113
WJul 30 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi—111111113O. Kovalchuk—813641
WJul 29 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi—681111113O. Kovalchuk—11113372
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172WSep 10 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.001211811122P. Plakushchyi1.73144116143WSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113WSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113WSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792LSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860WSep 8 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.91918611102P. Plakushchyi1.801116119123LSep 8 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi1.7312117101O. Mishchenko2.0014511123LSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641LSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211
O. Kovalchuk10
WSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113WSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.2011911113O. Mishchenko1.61511531WSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.83111177113E. Rubtsov1.8345111182LSep 9 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.5061O. Kovalchuk2.5030WSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460LSep 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.171111113O. Kovalchuk4.508660LSep 8 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.73951111113O. Kovalchuk2.0011118532LSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113LSep 3 · 18:25E. Rubtsov2.0081211113O. Kovalchuk1.731110541
Upcoming Matches
P. Plakushchyi
O. Kovalchuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.