TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095367
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 0
Set by set
63––––––––
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:39 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mishchenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Oleksandr V Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 6-3
Point 9 set 1, 6-3 — our read held Oleksandr Mishchenko at 65.7%
9 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 97–67 Oleksandr V Kovalchuk Oleksandr V Kovalchuk has won 67 of their 164 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
97-67 in 164
Mishchenko
Correct
gap of 30 in 164, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1584 vs Kovalchuk 1438
Mishchenko
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 60% vs Kovalchuk 40%
Mishchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 30% vs Kovalchuk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -1 · Kovalchuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Mishchenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 1.50 / Kovalchuk 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Mishchenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095367
Mishchenko1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 123 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it90% 83 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it83% 105 of 126
Kovalchuk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 82 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko5wins
AwayKovalchuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayKovalchuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko6Kovalchuk4n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko7Kovalchuk3n = 10Mishchenko took 7 of 10
S3Mishchenko8Kovalchuk2n = 10Mishchenko took 8 of 10
S4Mishchenko4Kovalchuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Mishchenko0Kovalchuk5n = 5Kovalchuk took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoKovalchukM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.0+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 1051 vs 329 / 78546.9%41.9%493 / 1051 vs 329 / 785Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MishchenkoMishchenko 1.50/Kovalchuk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Mishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–0
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 15:25O. Mishchenko—76111162O. Kovalchuk—111177113
LAug 19 · 01:55O. Mishchenko—11118872O. Kovalchuk—791111113
WAug 13 · 20:25O. Mishchenko—81111113O. Kovalchuk—116551
WAug 13 · 02:25O. Mishchenko—1111113O. Kovalchuk—5470
LAug 12 · 03:55O. Mishchenko—61111732O. Kovalchuk—114511113
WAug 6 · 20:25O. Mishchenko—11118123O. Kovalchuk—7711101
LAug 5 · 22:25O. Mishchenko—1471110102O. Kovalchuk—1211312123
WAug 4 · 21:25O. Mishchenko—11511113O. Kovalchuk—411781
WJul 30 · 20:25O. Mishchenko—1111113O. Kovalchuk—4480
LJul 29 · 21:55O. Mishchenko—511119102O. Kovalchuk—118611123
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961WSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133LSep 8 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.30111111762E. Rubtsov3.40491311113WSep 8 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi1.7312117101O. Mishchenko2.0014511123WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191
O. Kovalchuk10
WSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460WSep 9 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.574760O. Kovalchuk2.251111113LSep 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.171111113O. Kovalchuk4.508660LSep 8 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.73951111113O. Kovalchuk2.0011118532LSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113LSep 3 · 18:25E. Rubtsov2.0081211113O. Kovalchuk1.731110541LSep 3 · 16:25S. Ponomarenko1.041114113O. Kovalchuk9.0071270WSep 3 · 15:25O. Kovalchuk2.63811511113O. Mishchenko1.4411911962LSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781LSep 3 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.539111111113O. Kovalchuk2.3811981372
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