TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095371
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911511118115113
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Oleksandr V Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 85 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 56.5%
85 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1661 vs Kovalchuk 1403
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 259 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 80% vs Kovalchuk 20%
Panasenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 80% vs Kovalchuk 20%
Panasenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko -1 · Kovalchuk -3
Kovalchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.73 / Kovalchuk 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13095371
Panasenko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Kovalchuk2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 82 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 45 vs 333 / 79560%41.9%27 / 45 vs 333 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.73/Kovalchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Panasenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852
O. Kovalchuk10
LSep 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.171111113O. Kovalchuk4.508660LSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113LSep 3 · 18:25E. Rubtsov2.0081211113O. Kovalchuk1.731110541LSep 3 · 16:25S. Ponomarenko1.041114113O. Kovalchuk9.0071270WSep 3 · 15:25O. Kovalchuk2.63811511113O. Mishchenko1.4411911962LSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781LSep 3 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.539111111113O. Kovalchuk2.3811981372LSep 3 · 02:55S. Ponomarenko1.03811611113O. Kovalchuk10.0011611692LSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.444111061O. Kovalchuk2.6311512113
Upcoming Matches
V. Panasenko
O. Kovalchuk
Sep 9 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.25P. Plakushchyi1.57—Sep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.73E. Rubtsov2.00—Sep 9 · 04:25O. Kovalchuk2.50O. Mishchenko1.50—Sep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.73E. Rubtsov2.00—Sep 9 · 23:55O. Kovalchuk1.83V. Kovalenko1.83—Sep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.50O. Mishchenko1.50—Sep 10 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk2.25P. Plakushchyi1.57—
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