TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055901
Played Sep 2Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117411116––
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 73.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 0–3 Volodymyr Panasenko Vitalii Khamurda has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Panasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Panasenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1546 vs Panasenko 1680
Panasenko
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 20% vs Panasenko 100%
Panasenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 50% vs Panasenko 90%
Panasenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda -4 · Panasenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Panasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 3.40 / Panasenko 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055901
Khamurda3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 75 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Panasenko1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 22 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKhamurda0wins
AwayPanasenko3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPanasenko leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda1Panasenko2n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S2Khamurda1Panasenko2n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S3Khamurda0Panasenko3n = 3Panasenko took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKhamurdaPanasenkoK − PBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.042.3−8.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 885 vs 27 / 4452.3%61.4%463 / 885 vs 27 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoKhamurda 3.40/Panasenko 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khamurda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 19 · 03:05V. Khamurda—5870V. Panasenko—1111113
LJul 31 · 03:25V. Khamurda—8111141V. Panasenko—11613113
LJul 24 · 03:25V. Khamurda—137711102V. Panasenko—1111118123
V. Khamurda10
WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113LSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113LSep 1 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.73711691T. Ponomarenko2.0011911113LSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113WSep 1 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.73691111113T. Ponomarenko2.0011117782
V. Panasenko10
WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
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