TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055792
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
61112101715119––
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 91 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 69.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 2–1 Roman Gnoevoy Roman Gnoevoy has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1644 vs Gnoevoy 1533
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 80% vs Gnoevoy 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 80% vs Gnoevoy 60%
Panasenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko +4 · Gnoevoy -1
Panasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gnoevoy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.40 / Gnoevoy 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055792
Panasenko1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 22 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Gnoevoy2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 113 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back26% 30 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePanasenko2wins
AwayGnoevoy1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPanasenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePanasenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayGnoevoyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Panasenko3Gnoevoy0n = 3Panasenko took 3 of 3
S2Panasenko1Gnoevoy2n = 3Gnoevoy took 2 of 3
S3Panasenko2Gnoevoy1n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPanasenkoGnoevoyP − GBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match40.735.7+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 41 vs 412 / 82058.5%50.2%24 / 41 vs 412 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.40/Gnoevoy 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Panasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 31 · 01:25V. Panasenko—11881162R. Gnoevoy—911116113
WJul 24 · 01:55V. Panasenko—11811113R. Gnoevoy—511591
WJul 21 · 21:35V. Panasenko—1412113R. Gnoevoy—121070
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113WSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680WSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113WSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113WSep 2 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.6111118113T. Ponomarenko2.20741161LSep 1 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.915670S. Abalmaz1.801111113WSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133
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