TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13032976
Played Aug 28Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811116611116116
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 62.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 1–0 Volodymyr Panasenko Volodymyr Panasenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Panasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1608 vs Panasenko 1607
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 60% vs Panasenko 80%
Panasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 70% vs Panasenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko -2 · Panasenko +4
Panasenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 2.50 / Panasenko 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Panasenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13032976
Hrynenko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 156 of 364
Down 0–1, comes back26% 50 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 103
Panasenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 18 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHrynenko1wins
AwayPanasenko0wins
Hrynenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHrynenkoPanasenkoH − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.034.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 901 vs 20 / 3646.5%55.6%419 / 901 vs 20 / 36Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoHrynenko 2.50/Panasenko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 15 · 19:55K. Hrynenko—11811113V. Panasenko—911591
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.