TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055947
Played Sep 2Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117111118––––
Spartak Abalmaz
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Spartak Abalmaz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 49 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 2–5 Spartak Abalmaz Volodymyr Panasenko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Abalmaz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1664 vs Abalmaz 1649
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 100% vs Abalmaz 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 90% vs Abalmaz 70%
Panasenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko +5 · Abalmaz +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Panasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abalmaz form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.80 / Abalmaz 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Panasenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055947
Panasenko1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 22 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Abalmaz1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 72 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back32% 22 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePanasenko2wins
AwayAbalmaz5wins
4 of 7 to a deciderAbalmaz leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePanasenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAbalmaz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Panasenko2Abalmaz5n = 7Abalmaz took 5 of 7
S2Panasenko2Abalmaz5n = 7Abalmaz took 5 of 7
S3Panasenko5Abalmaz2n = 7Panasenko took 5 of 7
S4Panasenko4Abalmaz3n = 7Panasenko took 4 of 7
S5Panasenko1Abalmaz3n = 4Abalmaz took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricPanasenkoAbalmazP − ABasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match44.444.9−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoAbalmazBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 43 vs 424 / 83060.5%51.1%26 / 43 vs 424 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.80/Abalmaz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Panasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 26 · 02:35V. Panasenko—991111113S. Abalmaz—11118672
LAug 20 · 22:55V. Panasenko—10411101S. Abalmaz—12118123
WAug 19 · 01:05V. Panasenko—11711123S. Abalmaz—9116101
LJul 31 · 02:25V. Panasenko—991411172S. Abalmaz—1111128193
LJul 23 · 22:55V. Panasenko—111171282S. Abalmaz—671114113
LJul 22 · 02:05V. Panasenko—1051151S. Abalmaz—12114113
LJul 15 · 17:55V. Panasenko—81181162S. Abalmaz—116115113
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
S. Abalmaz10
LSep 4 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.108760D. Derevynskyi1.671111113WSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113LSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151WSep 3 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.571111143T. Ponomarenko2.2555120WSep 3 · 22:25O. Naida2.757660S. Abalmaz1.401111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Abalmaz1.4471180T. Ponomarenko2.631113113WSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113WSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192WSep 1 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.915670S. Abalmaz1.801111113WSep 1 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.2011811123D. Derevynskyi1.617118101
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