TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031458
Played Aug 28Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1315118511118115
Valentyn Lobas
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Valentyn Lobas below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 2–0 Valentyn Lobas Valentyn Lobas has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1592 vs Lobas 1634
Lobas
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 80% vs Lobas 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 60% vs Lobas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko +3 · Lobas +1
Panasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Panasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lobas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.57 / Lobas 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Panasenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13031458
Panasenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 18 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Lobas2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 35 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back31% 10 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePanasenko2wins
AwayLobas0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPanasenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPanasenkoLobasP − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.537.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoLobasBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 35 vs 218 / 37954.3%57.5%19 / 35 vs 218 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.57/Lobas 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Panasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 24 · 24:25V. Panasenko—12113113V. Lobas—1061141
WJul 22 · 01:05V. Panasenko—1111411113V. Lobas—13511692
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
V. Lobas10
LSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143WSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:05V. Lobas1.67111176113Y. Krol2.1094111192LSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:05V. Lobas1.361111113M. Marchuk3.009970LSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123WSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:05Y. Krol1.911010100V. Lobas1.801212123WSep 4 · 23:05V. Lobas1.50761111113D. Derevynskyi2.5011116772LSep 4 · 22:05O. Melashenko3.2591211123V. Lobas1.3311109101
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