TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031352
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119114––––
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:31 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Dmytro Derevynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 58.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 2–0 Dmytro Derevynskyi Dmytro Derevynskyi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1624 vs Derevynskyi 1579
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 80% vs Derevynskyi 40%
Panasenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 80% vs Derevynskyi 50%
Panasenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko +2 · Derevynskyi -3
Derevynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Panasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.57 / Derevynskyi 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Panasenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13031352
Panasenko1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 18 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Derevynskyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePanasenko2wins
AwayDerevynskyi0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderPanasenko leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPanasenkoDerevynskyiP − DBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match49.546.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoDerevynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 39 vs 466 / 84756.4%55%22 / 39 vs 466 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.57/Derevynskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Panasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 26 · 04:05V. Panasenko—1111811113D. Derevynskyi—61311972
WJul 15 · 16:55V. Panasenko—118115123D. Derevynskyi—611911102
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
D. Derevynskyi10
WSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113WSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:05V. Lobas1.50761111113D. Derevynskyi2.5011116772WSep 4 · 21:05Y. Krol2.639680D. Derevynskyi1.441111113WSep 4 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.108760D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 4 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi1.80108111132T. Ponomarenko1.91121148113WSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113WSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113LAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
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