TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055951
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151151315511116
Tymur Ponomarenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Tymur Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 73.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 2–1 Tymur Ponomarenko Tymur Ponomarenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1638 vs Ponomarenko 1409
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 80% vs Ponomarenko 0%
Panasenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 80% vs Ponomarenko 0%
Panasenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko +3 · Ponomarenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Panasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ponomarenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.30 / Ponomarenko 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055951
Panasenko1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 22 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Ponomarenko3.40
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePanasenko2wins
AwayPonomarenko1wins
Panasenko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Panasenko2Ponomarenko1n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S2Panasenko2Ponomarenko1n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S3Panasenko2Ponomarenko1n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPanasenkoPonomarenkoPanasenko − PonomarenkoBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.023.3+8.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 40 vs 198 / 35957.5%55.2%23 / 40 vs 198 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.30/Ponomarenko 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Panasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 25 · 21:35V. Panasenko—1111113T. Ponomarenko—2160
LAug 20 · 21:25V. Panasenko—81470T. Ponomarenko—1116113
WAug 18 · 21:35V. Panasenko—1211113T. Ponomarenko—10760
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
T. Ponomarenko10
WSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113WSep 4 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi1.80108111132T. Ponomarenko1.91121148113LSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680LSep 3 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.571111143T. Ponomarenko2.2555120LSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 04:25S. Abalmaz1.4471180T. Ponomarenko2.631113113LSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193LSep 2 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.6111118113T. Ponomarenko2.20741161WSep 1 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.73711691T. Ponomarenko2.0011911113LSep 1 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.73691111113T. Ponomarenko2.0011117782
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