TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031420
Played Aug 29Finished
Yan Krol
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411711––––
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:34 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYan Krol above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 59.3%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Krol 1571 vs Panasenko 1609
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krol 60% vs Panasenko 80%
Panasenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krol 50% vs Panasenko 80%
Panasenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krol +1 · Panasenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Panasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrol 2.00 / Panasenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Panasenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13031420
Krol2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Panasenko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 18 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrolPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 585 vs 21 / 3851.1%55.3%299 / 585 vs 21 / 38Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoKrol 2.00/Panasenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Panasenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Krol10
WSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123LSep 6 · 24:05V. Lobas1.67111176113Y. Krol2.1094111192LSep 5 · 23:05Y. Krol1.831133111M. Marchuk1.8331111133LSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990LSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113WSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101LSep 5 · 24:05Y. Krol1.911010100V. Lobas1.801212123WSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090LSep 4 · 21:05Y. Krol2.639680D. Derevynskyi1.441111113
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
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