TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055948
Played Sep 2Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114117––––
Serhii Skachenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:54 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 60.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 1–3 Serhii Skachenko Volodymyr Panasenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Panasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Skachenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1654 vs Skachenko 1531
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 100% vs Skachenko 40%
Panasenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 90% vs Skachenko 40%
Panasenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko +5 · Skachenko -1
Panasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.61 / Skachenko 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055948
Panasenko1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 22 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Skachenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePanasenko1wins
AwaySkachenko3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSkachenko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePanasenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkachenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Panasenko1Skachenko3n = 4Skachenko took 3 of 4
S2Panasenko1Skachenko3n = 4Skachenko took 3 of 4
S3Panasenko3Skachenko1n = 4Panasenko took 3 of 4
S4Panasenko1Skachenko2n = 3Skachenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricPanasenkoSkachenkoP − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match35.835.2+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 42 vs 113 / 28659.5%39.5%25 / 42 vs 113 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.61/Skachenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Panasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 18 · 23:35V. Panasenko—11811642S. Skachenko—411611113
LJul 30 · 21:55V. Panasenko—81270S. Skachenko—1114113
WJul 22 · 03:05V. Panasenko—81111113S. Skachenko—116511
LJul 15 · 15:55V. Panasenko—4111191S. Skachenko—11134113
V. Panasenko10
LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940WAug 29 · 01:35Y. Krol2.007470V. Panasenko1.731111113WAug 29 · 24:35V. Panasenko1.501219711113O. Gomilko2.50102111972LAug 28 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50811611113V. Panasenko1.5011611662WAug 28 · 22:05V. Panasenko1.571311511113V. Lobas2.2515811852WAug 26 · 04:05D. Derevynskyi2.3861311972V. Panasenko1.531111811113
S. Skachenko10
LSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193LSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192WSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113LAug 28 · 18:35S. Skachenko1.839111121V. Khamurda1.8311138113WAug 28 · 17:05S. Skachenko1.831211143S. Abalmaz1.83106120LAug 28 · 15:35S. Skachenko1.6711591672O. Naida2.104111114113WAug 28 · 14:05S. Skachenko1.91117811113R. Gnoevoy1.8051111982WAug 28 · 12:35S. Skachenko1.8011911153T. Ponomarenko1.913115131LAug 28 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.8311711892S. Abalmaz1.83611511113
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