TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031445
Played Aug 28Finished
Serhii Skachenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111113118211––
Vitalii Khamurda
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Skachenko above · Vitalii Khamurda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 76 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 54.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Skachenko 6–7 Vitalii Khamurda Serhii Skachenko has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:55What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khamurda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skachenko 1510 vs Khamurda 1548
Khamurda
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skachenko 60% vs Khamurda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skachenko 50% vs Khamurda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skachenko +1 · Khamurda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skachenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkachenko 1.83 / Khamurda 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skachenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031445
Skachenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Khamurda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkachenko4wins
AwayKhamurda6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkachenko50%4 of 8
AwayKhamurdan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skachenko8Khamurda2n = 10Skachenko took 8 of 10
S2Skachenko2Khamurda8n = 10Khamurda took 8 of 10
S3Skachenko7Khamurda3n = 10Skachenko took 7 of 10
S4Skachenko3Khamurda6n = 9Khamurda took 6 of 9
S5Skachenko1Khamurda3n = 4Khamurda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkachenkoKhamurdaS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.9−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkachenkoKhamurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 284 vs 456 / 87539.4%52.1%112 / 284 vs 456 / 875Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoSkachenko 1.83/Khamurda 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khamurda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 01:35S. Skachenko—1191141V. Khamurda—91113113
WAug 17 · 21:55S. Skachenko—11611113V. Khamurda—911461
LAug 11 · 19:25S. Skachenko—711181V. Khamurda—11115113
LAug 11 · 02:25S. Skachenko—115128112V. Khamurda—6111011133
WAug 5 · 24:35S. Skachenko—111179113V. Khamurda—86111162
LAug 4 · 02:25S. Skachenko—11311982V. Khamurda—711911113
WAug 1 · 01:05S. Skachenko—1211133V. Khamurda—105110
LJul 30 · 22:55S. Skachenko—8911101V. Khamurda—11115123
WJul 21 · 01:55S. Skachenko—11413113V. Khamurda—7111181
LJul 17 · 01:55S. Skachenko—113111152V. Khamurda—911139113
S. Skachenko10
LSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193LSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470LSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192WSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113WAug 28 · 17:05S. Skachenko1.831211143S. Abalmaz1.83106120LAug 28 · 15:35S. Skachenko1.6711591672O. Naida2.104111114113WAug 28 · 14:05S. Skachenko1.91117811113R. Gnoevoy1.8051111982WAug 28 · 12:35S. Skachenko1.8011911153T. Ponomarenko1.913115131LAug 28 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.8311711892S. Abalmaz1.83611511113
V. Khamurda10
WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113LSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113LSep 1 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.73711691T. Ponomarenko2.0011911113LSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113
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