TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055946
Played Sep 2Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111214711––––
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:54 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 56.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 122–66 Roman Gnoevoy Roman Gnoevoy has won 66 of their 188 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
122-66 in 188
Khamurda
Wrong
gap of 56 in 188, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1561 vs Gnoevoy 1533
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 40% vs Gnoevoy 60%
Gnoevoy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 60% vs Gnoevoy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda -3 · Gnoevoy +1
Khamurda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khamurda) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khamurda form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.73 / Gnoevoy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khamurda)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055946
Khamurda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 115 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it77% 69 of 90
Gnoevoy2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 113 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back26% 30 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda9wins
AwayGnoevoy1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurda100%6 of 6
AwayGnoevoy25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda6Gnoevoy4n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S2Khamurda5Gnoevoy5n = 10split evenly
S3Khamurda6Gnoevoy4n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S4Khamurda6Gnoevoy1n = 7Khamurda took 6 of 7
S5Khamurda4Gnoevoy0n = 4Khamurda took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaGnoevoyK − GBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.733.2+6.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 885 vs 412 / 82052.4%50.2%464 / 885 vs 412 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.73/Gnoevoy 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 03:25V. Khamurda—111311113R. Gnoevoy—915961
WAug 28 · 13:05V. Khamurda—1111113R. Gnoevoy—8740
WAug 27 · 23:55V. Khamurda—811811113R. Gnoevoy—11411322
WAug 13 · 22:55V. Khamurda—113311113R. Gnoevoy—41111482
LAug 11 · 13:55V. Khamurda—61270R. Gnoevoy—1114113
WAug 11 · 01:25V. Khamurda—12811113R. Gnoevoy—1011541
WAug 6 · 21:25V. Khamurda—771111123R. Gnoevoy—111195102
WAug 5 · 04:05V. Khamurda—411117113R. Gnoevoy—11841182
WAug 3 · 21:55V. Khamurda—1111113R. Gnoevoy—6470
WJul 30 · 21:25V. Khamurda—11115113R. Gnoevoy—891161
V. Khamurda10
WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161LSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113LSep 1 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.73711691T. Ponomarenko2.0011911113LSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113WSep 1 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.73691111113T. Ponomarenko2.0011117782
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113WSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680WSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113WSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.6111118113T. Ponomarenko2.20741161LSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591LSep 1 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.915670S. Abalmaz1.801111113WSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133
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