TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067226
Played Sep 3Finished
Roman Gnoevoy
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51111818161311––
Oleksandr Naida
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Gnoevoy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingRoman Gnoevoy above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 93 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Roman Gnoevoy at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Roman Gnoevoy 117–121 Oleksandr Naida Roman Gnoevoy has won 117 of their 238 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Naida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
117-121 in 238
Naida
Wrong
gap of 4 in 238, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gnoevoy 1548 vs Naida 1468
Gnoevoy
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gnoevoy 60% vs Naida 40%
Gnoevoy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gnoevoy 70% vs Naida 50%
Gnoevoy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gnoevoy -1 · Naida -3
Naida
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gnoevoy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGnoevoy 1.83 / Naida 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gnoevoy)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067226
Gnoevoy1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Naida1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGnoevoy8wins
AwayNaida2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGnoevoy leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGnoevoy87.5%7 of 8
AwayNaidan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gnoevoy8Naida2n = 10Gnoevoy took 8 of 10
S2Gnoevoy8Naida2n = 10Gnoevoy took 8 of 10
S3Gnoevoy6Naida4n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S4Gnoevoy2Naida4n = 6Naida took 4 of 6
S5Gnoevoy3Naida1n = 4Gnoevoy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGnoevoyNaidaG − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.736.0+4.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGnoevoyNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 811 vs 480 / 93250.3%51.5%408 / 811 vs 480 / 932Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GnoevoyGnoevoy 1.83/Naida 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gnoevoy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy—1114711113O. Naida—812111362
WAug 28 · 19:35R. Gnoevoy—13117113O. Naida—1141191
WAug 28 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy—1111143O. Naida—94120
WAug 14 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy—139911143O. Naida—1111119122
WAug 11 · 16:55R. Gnoevoy—5111112113O. Naida—11471462
WAug 11 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy—1113113O. Naida—61150
LAug 6 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy—11137492O. Naida—9111111113
WAug 4 · 23:05R. Gnoevoy—1111113O. Naida—6550
LAug 3 · 22:55R. Gnoevoy—931111O. Naida—11119113
WJul 31 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy—1111113O. Naida—8760
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113WSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680LSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113WSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113WSep 2 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.6111118113T. Ponomarenko2.20741161LSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591LSep 1 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.915670S. Abalmaz1.801111113WSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133
O. Naida10
LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830LSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 3 · 22:25O. Naida2.757660S. Abalmaz1.401111113LSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133LSep 1 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.101111113O. Naida1.679940WSep 1 · 24:55O. Naida2.10311511113D. Derevynskyi1.6711211162WAug 31 · 23:55T. Ponomarenko2.509111110112O. Naida1.50117812133WAug 31 · 22:25O. Naida2.6311612113S. Abalmaz1.447111071WAug 31 · 03:55O. Naida2.101111711113D. Derevynskyi1.6781311842
Upcoming Matches
R. Gnoevoy
O. Naida
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.