TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055455
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111012116711––
Serhii Skachenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 7–6 Serhii Skachenko Serhii Skachenko has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1620 vs Skachenko 1510
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 80% vs Skachenko 60%
Khamurda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 90% vs Skachenko 40%
Khamurda
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda +2 · Skachenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khamurda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khamurda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.80 / Skachenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khamurda)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13055455
Khamurda1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 115 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it77% 69 of 90
Skachenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda6wins
AwaySkachenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurdan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkachenko50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda2Skachenko8n = 10Skachenko took 8 of 10
S2Khamurda8Skachenko2n = 10Khamurda took 8 of 10
S3Khamurda3Skachenko7n = 10Skachenko took 7 of 10
S4Khamurda6Skachenko3n = 9Khamurda took 6 of 9
S5Khamurda3Skachenko1n = 4Khamurda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaSkachenkoK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.3+1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 885 vs 112 / 28452.5%39.4%465 / 885 vs 112 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.80/Skachenko 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 01:35V. Khamurda—91113113S. Skachenko—1191141
LAug 17 · 21:55V. Khamurda—911461S. Skachenko—11611113
WAug 11 · 19:25V. Khamurda—11115113S. Skachenko—711181
WAug 11 · 02:25V. Khamurda—6111011133S. Skachenko—115128112
LAug 5 · 24:35V. Khamurda—86111162S. Skachenko—111179113
WAug 4 · 02:25V. Khamurda—711911113S. Skachenko—11311982
LAug 1 · 01:05V. Khamurda—105110S. Skachenko—1211133
WJul 30 · 22:55V. Khamurda—11115123S. Skachenko—8911101
LJul 21 · 01:55V. Khamurda—7111181S. Skachenko—11413113
WJul 17 · 01:55V. Khamurda—911139113S. Skachenko—113111152
V. Khamurda10
WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113LSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113LSep 1 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.73711691T. Ponomarenko2.0011911113WSep 1 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.73691111113T. Ponomarenko2.0011117782
S. Skachenko10
LSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193LSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470LSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192LAug 28 · 18:35S. Skachenko1.839111121V. Khamurda1.8311138113WAug 28 · 17:05S. Skachenko1.831211143S. Abalmaz1.83106120LAug 28 · 15:35S. Skachenko1.6711591672O. Naida2.104111114113WAug 28 · 14:05S. Skachenko1.91117811113R. Gnoevoy1.8051111982WAug 28 · 12:35S. Skachenko1.8011911153T. Ponomarenko1.913115131LAug 28 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.8311711892S. Abalmaz1.83611511113
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