TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101258
Played Sep 10Finished
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141148111161214
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Plakushchyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Kovalenko above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 103 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Pavel Plakushchyi at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Kovalenko 4–4 Pavel Plakushchyi Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Plakushchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1575 vs Plakushchyi 1604
Plakushchyi
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 60% vs Plakushchyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 80% vs Plakushchyi 40%
Kovalenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -1 · Plakushchyi +3
Plakushchyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plakushchyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 2.00 / Plakushchyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plakushchyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13101258
Kovalenko2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 65 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Plakushchyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 48 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKovalenko4wins
AwayPlakushchyi4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko50%2 of 4
AwayPlakushchyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko4Plakushchyi4n = 8split evenly
S2Kovalenko3Plakushchyi5n = 8Plakushchyi took 5 of 8
S3Kovalenko4Plakushchyi4n = 8split evenly
S4Kovalenko4Plakushchyi3n = 7Kovalenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKovalenkoPlakushchyiK − PBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match39.139.0+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 403 vs 303 / 68543.7%44.2%176 / 403 vs 303 / 685Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiKovalenko 2.00/Plakushchyi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko—9111211113P. Plakushchyi—11514482
WAug 26 · 15:55V. Kovalenko—11811113P. Plakushchyi—811371
LAug 20 · 17:55V. Kovalenko—111111792P. Plakushchyi—413611113
WAug 19 · 21:55V. Kovalenko—11921113P. Plakushchyi—7111991
LJul 30 · 03:55V. Kovalenko—711851P. Plakushchyi—11911113
WApr 23 · 01:25V. Kovalenko—61111113P. Plakushchyi—115991
LFeb 26 · 22:55V. Kovalenko—118641P. Plakushchyi—81111113
LFeb 10 · 23:55V. Kovalenko—5580P. Plakushchyi—1111113
V. Kovalenko10
LSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.9171171182O. Mishchenko1.80117113113WSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482WSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101WAug 28 · 03:25V. Kovalenko1.401111113V. Khamurda2.758780WAug 28 · 01:55V. Kovalenko1.83111169123R. Gnoevoy1.83491111102WAug 28 · 24:25V. Kovalenko1.53111511113S. Skachenko2.387131341
P. Plakushchyi10
WSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113WSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113WSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792LSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860LSep 9 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.574760O. Kovalchuk2.251111113WSep 8 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.91918611102P. Plakushchyi1.801116119123LSep 8 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi1.7312117101O. Mishchenko2.0014511123LSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641LSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211LSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482
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