TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022621
Played Aug 28Finished
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Vitalii Khamurda
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:00 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Kovalenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Kovalenko above · Vitalii Khamurda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Viacheslav Kovalenko at 66.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Kovalenko 2–0 Vitalii Khamurda Vitalii Khamurda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:00What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1525 vs Khamurda 1518
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 80% vs Khamurda 60%
Kovalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 70% vs Khamurda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +4 · Khamurda +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khamurda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.40 / Khamurda 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kovalenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022621
Kovalenko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 65 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it70% 42 of 60
Khamurda2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKovalenko2wins
AwayKhamurda0wins
Kovalenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKovalenkoKhamurdaKovalenko − KhamurdaBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoKhamurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 395 vs 452 / 86943%52%170 / 395 vs 452 / 869Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.40/Khamurda 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 25 · 03:25V. Kovalenko—1111113V. Khamurda—5870
WJan 21 · 18:55V. Kovalenko—1111113V. Khamurda—8990
V. Kovalenko10
WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.9171171182O. Mishchenko1.80117113113WSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482WSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101WAug 28 · 01:55V. Kovalenko1.83111169123R. Gnoevoy1.83491111102WAug 28 · 24:25V. Kovalenko1.53111511113S. Skachenko2.387131341WAug 27 · 22:55V. Kovalenko1.7311712113S. Abalmaz2.007111091WAug 27 · 21:25V. Kovalenko1.571211113O. Naida2.2510320LAug 26 · 19:55V. Kovalenko1.61139551E. Rubtsov2.20111111113
V. Khamurda10
WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113LSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113LSep 1 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.73711691T. Ponomarenko2.0011911113LSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113
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