TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022724
Played Aug 27Finished
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1177111210119––
Spartak Abalmaz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Kovalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Kovalenko above · Spartak Abalmaz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Viacheslav Kovalenko at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Kovalenko 2–1 Spartak Abalmaz Spartak Abalmaz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:06What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1484 vs Abalmaz 1578
Abalmaz
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 60% vs Abalmaz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 60% vs Abalmaz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +1 · Abalmaz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.73 / Abalmaz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kovalenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13022724
Kovalenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 65 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it70% 42 of 60
Abalmaz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 70 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back30% 20 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKovalenko2wins
AwayAbalmaz1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKovalenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko2Abalmaz1n = 3Kovalenko took 2 of 3
S2Kovalenko3Abalmaz0n = 3Kovalenko took 3 of 3
S3Kovalenko2Abalmaz1n = 3Kovalenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKovalenkoAbalmazK − ABasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.329.7+9.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoAbalmazBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 392 vs 411 / 81242.6%50.6%167 / 392 vs 411 / 812Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.73/Abalmaz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 25 · 01:55V. Kovalenko—101181672S. Abalmaz—1271114113
WFeb 5 · 21:25V. Kovalenko—1111113S. Abalmaz—9730
WFeb 4 · 22:25V. Kovalenko—1111113S. Abalmaz—2670
V. Kovalenko10
WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.9171171182O. Mishchenko1.80117113113WSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482WSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101WAug 28 · 03:25V. Kovalenko1.401111113V. Khamurda2.758780WAug 28 · 01:55V. Kovalenko1.83111169123R. Gnoevoy1.83491111102WAug 28 · 24:25V. Kovalenko1.53111511113S. Skachenko2.387131341WAug 27 · 21:25V. Kovalenko1.571211113O. Naida2.2510320LAug 26 · 19:55V. Kovalenko1.61139551E. Rubtsov2.20111111113
S. Abalmaz10
LSep 4 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.108760D. Derevynskyi1.671111113WSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113LSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151WSep 3 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.571111143T. Ponomarenko2.2555120WSep 3 · 22:25O. Naida2.757660S. Abalmaz1.401111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Abalmaz1.4471180T. Ponomarenko2.631113113LSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113WSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192WSep 1 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.915670S. Abalmaz1.801111113
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