TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022609
Played Aug 28Finished
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141196119111210
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Gnoevoy to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViacheslav Kovalenko above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Roman Gnoevoy at 54.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Kovalenko 0–2 Roman Gnoevoy Viacheslav Kovalenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Gnoevoy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1514 vs Gnoevoy 1531
Gnoevoy
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 60% vs Gnoevoy 20%
Kovalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 60% vs Gnoevoy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +3 · Gnoevoy -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gnoevoy form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.83 / Gnoevoy 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kovalenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022609
Kovalenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Gnoevoy1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKovalenko0wins
AwayGnoevoy2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderGnoevoy leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKovalenkoGnoevoyK − GBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.040.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 394 vs 408 / 81242.9%50.3%169 / 394 vs 408 / 812Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.83/Gnoevoy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJan 21 · 20:55V. Kovalenko—9990R. Gnoevoy—1111113
LJan 20 · 20:25V. Kovalenko—61131142R. Gnoevoy—117118113
V. Kovalenko10
WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.9171171182O. Mishchenko1.80117113113WSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482WSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101WAug 28 · 03:25V. Kovalenko1.401111113V. Khamurda2.758780WAug 28 · 24:25V. Kovalenko1.53111511113S. Skachenko2.387131341WAug 27 · 22:55V. Kovalenko1.7311712113S. Abalmaz2.007111091WAug 27 · 21:25V. Kovalenko1.571211113O. Naida2.2510320LAug 26 · 19:55V. Kovalenko1.61139551E. Rubtsov2.20111111113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113WSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680WSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113WSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113WSep 2 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.6111118113T. Ponomarenko2.20741161LSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591LSep 1 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.915670S. Abalmaz1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.