TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095379
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131161151315117
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 103 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 60.5%
103 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:40What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1873 vs Panasenko 1670
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 60% vs Panasenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 80% vs Panasenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +1 · Panasenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.53 / Panasenko 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13095379
Dukhovenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 209 of 284
Up 2–0, closes it98% 129 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it91% 163 of 179
Panasenko2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 852 vs 30 / 4962.7%61.2%534 / 852 vs 30 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.53/Panasenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dukhovenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860LSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133WSep 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.171111113O. Kovalchuk4.508660WSep 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.061111113E. Rubtsov8.007550LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113
V. Panasenko10
WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961WSep 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.731112113E. Rubtsov2.0051050LSep 8 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.91918611102P. Plakushchyi1.801116119123WSep 8 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.73951111113O. Kovalchuk2.0011118532LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161WSep 2 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.917180WSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470WSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591WSep 1 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.301111135113T. Ponomarenko3.4055151162WAug 29 · 03:35V. Panasenko1.571111113D. Derevynskyi2.257940
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