TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095370
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115115––––
Eduard Rubtsov
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 91.0% is still 91.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
91.0%
91.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Eduard Rubtsov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 91.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 20–1 Eduard Rubtsov Eduard Rubtsov has won 1 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-1 in 21
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 19 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1889 vs Rubtsov 1445
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 444 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 80% vs Rubtsov 60%
Dukhovenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 90% vs Rubtsov 40%
Dukhovenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko -1 · Rubtsov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rubtsov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.06 / Rubtsov 8.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+2.7pp
Setka Cup · #13095370
Dukhovenko1.06
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 209 of 284
Up 2–0, closes it98% 129 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it91% 163 of 179
Rubtsov8.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 98 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko10wins
AwayRubtsov0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko100%7 of 7
AwayRubtsov0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko7Rubtsov3n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Dukhovenko9Rubtsov1n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S3Dukhovenko9Rubtsov1n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S4Dukhovenko4Rubtsov1n = 5Dukhovenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoRubtsovD − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.924.8+13.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoRubtsovBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 849 vs 296 / 76562.7%38.7%532 / 849 vs 296 / 765Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.06/Rubtsov 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113E. Rubtsov—7550
WJun 2 · 18:55O. Dukhovenko—1111113E. Rubtsov—4870
WJan 22 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113E. Rubtsov—8490
WJan 20 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko—71111113E. Rubtsov—115361
WJan 8 · 03:05O. Dukhovenko—1111113E. Rubtsov—8380
WDec 25 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko—111110113E. Rubtsov—561281
WDec 23 · 18:25O. Dukhovenko—111111123E. Rubtsov—1373101
WNov 28 · 02:55O. Dukhovenko—1111113E. Rubtsov—7740
WNov 26 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko—11511113E. Rubtsov—711561
WNov 12 · 02:55O. Dukhovenko—911117103E. Rubtsov—11571122
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.171111113O. Kovalchuk4.508660LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621
E. Rubtsov10
LSep 3 · 19:25S. Ponomarenko1.01111112123E. Rubtsov12.008714101WSep 3 · 18:25E. Rubtsov2.0081211113O. Kovalchuk1.731110541WSep 3 · 17:25E. Rubtsov3.25115115113O. Mishchenko1.3371171162WSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070LSep 3 · 13:55E. Rubtsov6.006111041M. Makienko1.1111912113LSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 01:55E. Rubtsov3.258680P. Plakushchyi1.331111113LSep 3 · 24:25E. Rubtsov3.251311281O. Mishchenko1.3315911113LSep 2 · 22:55E. Rubtsov11.009290S. Ponomarenko1.021111113WSep 2 · 21:25E. Rubtsov2.00111158113O. Kovalchuk1.7397111162
Upcoming Matches
O. Dukhovenko
E. Rubtsov
Sep 9 · 01:25E. Rubtsov2.00V. Panasenko1.73—Sep 9 · 02:55E. Rubtsov2.00O. Kovalchuk1.73—Sep 9 · 03:55E. Rubtsov2.75P. Plakushchyi1.40—Sep 9 · 22:25E. Rubtsov2.00O. Kovalchuk1.73—Sep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.75P. Plakushchyi1.40—Sep 10 · 02:25E. Rubtsov2.25V. Kovalenko1.57—Sep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40O. Mishchenko1.30—
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