TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067371
Played Sep 3Finished
Eduard Rubtsov
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111191012411––
Mykhailo Makienko
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 87.8% is still 87.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Makienko to win
87.8%
87.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEduard Rubtsov above · Mykhailo Makienko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 74 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Mykhailo Makienko at 87.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Rubtsov 2–13 Mykhailo Makienko Eduard Rubtsov has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Makienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-13 in 15
Makienko
Correct
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rubtsov 1398 vs Makienko 1740
Makienko
Correct
both rated, 343 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rubtsov 20% vs Makienko 100%
Makienko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rubtsov 30% vs Makienko 60%
Makienko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rubtsov -4 · Makienko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Makienko) · live re-read · sealed at 88% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRubtsov 6.00 / Makienko 1.11
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Makienko)+4.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067371
Rubtsov6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 98 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Makienko1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 41 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRubtsov2wins
AwayMakienko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMakienko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRubtsov50%2 of 4
AwayMakienko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rubtsov4Makienko6n = 10Makienko took 6 of 10
S2Rubtsov1Makienko9n = 10Makienko took 9 of 10
S3Rubtsov4Makienko6n = 10Makienko took 6 of 10
S4Rubtsov2Makienko4n = 6Makienko took 4 of 6
S5Rubtsov1Makienko2n = 3Makienko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRubtsovMakienkoR − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.339.6−9.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRubtsovMakienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 770 vs 57 / 9038.6%63.3%297 / 770 vs 57 / 90Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakienkoRubtsov 6.00/Makienko 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.6%
Makienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 24:25E. Rubtsov—5650M. Makienko—1111113
LAug 20 · 13:55E. Rubtsov—4570M. Makienko—1111113
LAug 20 · 03:55E. Rubtsov—6380M. Makienko—1111113
LAug 19 · 02:25E. Rubtsov—11410101M. Makienko—61112123
WAug 13 · 01:55E. Rubtsov—1131310113M. Makienko—911111292
LAug 12 · 24:25E. Rubtsov—5114111M. Makienko—11511133
LAug 6 · 17:25E. Rubtsov—7790M. Makienko—1111113
LAug 6 · 03:25E. Rubtsov—25111172M. Makienko—111179113
WAug 4 · 22:25E. Rubtsov—12411113M. Makienko—1011861
LJul 30 · 19:55E. Rubtsov—11911572M. Makienko—611811113
E. Rubtsov10
LSep 3 · 19:25S. Ponomarenko1.01111112123E. Rubtsov12.008714101WSep 3 · 18:25E. Rubtsov2.0081211113O. Kovalchuk1.731110541WSep 3 · 17:25E. Rubtsov3.25115115113O. Mishchenko1.3371171162WSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070LSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 01:55E. Rubtsov3.258680P. Plakushchyi1.331111113LSep 3 · 24:25E. Rubtsov3.251311281O. Mishchenko1.3315911113LSep 2 · 22:55E. Rubtsov11.009290S. Ponomarenko1.021111113WSep 2 · 21:25E. Rubtsov2.00111158113O. Kovalchuk1.7397111162WAug 26 · 19:55V. Kovalenko1.61139551E. Rubtsov2.20111111113
M. Makienko10
LSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661LSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113LSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113WSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172WSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192LSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113
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