TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095141
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleh Napirko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116116––––
Mykyta Smyrnov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Napirko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Napirko above · Mykyta Smyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Napirko at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Napirko 33–27 Mykyta Smyrnov Mykyta Smyrnov has won 27 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Napirko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-27 in 60
Napirko
Correct
gap of 6 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Napirko 1572 vs Smyrnov 1561
Napirko
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Napirko 60% vs Smyrnov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Napirko 30% vs Smyrnov 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Napirko +1 · Smyrnov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Napirko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNapirko 1.73 / Smyrnov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Napirko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13095141
Napirko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 68 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it74% 56 of 76
Smyrnov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 114 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNapirko8wins
AwaySmyrnov2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNapirko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNapirko100%6 of 6
AwaySmyrnov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Napirko6Smyrnov4n = 10Napirko took 6 of 10
S2Napirko8Smyrnov2n = 10Napirko took 8 of 10
S3Napirko6Smyrnov4n = 10Napirko took 6 of 10
S4Napirko3Smyrnov2n = 5Napirko took 3 of 5
S5Napirko3Smyrnov1n = 4Napirko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNapirkoSmyrnovN − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.232.3+8.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNapirkoSmyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 868 vs 394 / 80350.2%49.1%436 / 868 vs 394 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NapirkoNapirko 1.73/Smyrnov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Napirko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Napirko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 23:45O. Napirko—1111113M. Smyrnov—5660
LAug 24 · 20:15O. Napirko—611101192M. Smyrnov—112129113
WAug 17 · 21:45O. Napirko—1311113M. Smyrnov—11550
WAug 13 · 21:45O. Napirko—1191211113M. Smyrnov—131110882
LAug 9 · 06:35O. Napirko—8970M. Smyrnov—1111113
WAug 4 · 01:15O. Napirko—11117113M. Smyrnov—661171
WJul 30 · 20:45O. Napirko—1111113M. Smyrnov—4450
WJul 28 · 23:15O. Napirko—1111109113M. Smyrnov—59121162
WJul 22 · 24:45O. Napirko—1111133M. Smyrnov—16110
WJul 19 · 05:35O. Napirko—1014177113M. Smyrnov—1212151132
O. Napirko10
WSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10851161O. Napirko1.6711117113LSep 8 · 21:15O. Napirko1.831110571S. Kalenyk1.8361211113WSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113LSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980
M. Smyrnov10
WSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113WSep 8 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.38511631M. Smyrnov1.5311711113LSep 7 · 02:45D. Pesternikov1.10691111113M. Smyrnov6.5011119552WSep 7 · 01:45I. Romaniak1.3015860M. Smyrnov3.401711113LSep 7 · 24:15I. Kozachuk1.40611118113M. Smyrnov2.7511871172LSep 6 · 22:15D. Shcherbak1.281111113M. Smyrnov3.507660LSep 6 · 20:15S. Rak1.2881111113M. Smyrnov3.50113671LSep 5 · 19:05S. Kalenyk2.501112113M. Smyrnov1.5051080LSep 5 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.531154131V. Vlasenko2.3881111153LSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182
Upcoming Matches
O. Napirko
M. Smyrnov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.