TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094485
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411811––––
Andrii Obishchenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Andrii Obishchenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 57.7%
54 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Obishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1566 vs Obishchenko 1645
Obishchenko
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 80% vs Obishchenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 50% vs Obishchenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +3 · Obishchenko +1
Osadchyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Obishchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Obishchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.38 / Obishchenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Obishchenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094485
Osadchyi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 111 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Obishchenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiObishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 855 vs 69 / 13551.5%51.1%440 / 855 vs 69 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoOsadchyi 2.38/Obishchenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Obishchenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651WSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113WSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113
A. Obishchenko10
WSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960LSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123WSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113
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