TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094743
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7117111012––––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 4–11 Yaroslav Kovshun Andrii Obishchenko has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kovshun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Kovshun
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1651 vs Kovshun 1535
Obishchenko
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 60% vs Kovshun 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 70% vs Kovshun 40%
Obishchenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +3 · Kovshun +2
Obishchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovshun)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.91 / Kovshun 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovshun)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13094743
Obishchenko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back50% 3 of 6
Kovshun1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 87 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 63 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeObishchenko3wins
AwayKovshun7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKovshun leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeObishchenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayKovshun71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko3Kovshun7n = 10Kovshun took 7 of 10
S2Obishchenko6Kovshun4n = 10Obishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Obishchenko3Kovshun7n = 10Kovshun took 7 of 10
S4Obishchenko5Kovshun5n = 10split evenly
S5Obishchenko2Kovshun3n = 5Kovshun took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricObishchenkoKovshunO − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.943.0−2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 133 vs 339 / 63451.1%53.5%68 / 133 vs 339 / 634Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunObishchenko 1.91/Kovshun 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 11:05A. Obishchenko—11711113Y. Kovshun—611771
WJul 18 · 06:35A. Obishchenko—513413113Y. Kovshun—1111111182
LJul 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko—118881Y. Kovshun—81111113
LJul 12 · 07:30A. Obishchenko—71161162Y. Kovshun—119114113
WMay 31 · 11:05A. Obishchenko—515911123Y. Kovshun—1113116102
LDec 7 · 09:30A. Obishchenko—911761Y. Kovshun—11411113
LOct 19 · 09:35A. Obishchenko—111189122Y. Kovshun—361111143
LOct 12 · 11:05A. Obishchenko—591151Y. Kovshun—11114113
LOct 9 · 16:40A. Obishchenko—511781Y. Kovshun—11511113
LOct 5 · 11:05A. Obishchenko—108111382Y. Kovshun—1211711113
A. Obishchenko10
WSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960WSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.361411113R. Sopivnyk3.0012780
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560WSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123WSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113
Upcoming Matches
A. Obishchenko
Nothing scheduled
Y. Kovshun
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