TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094456
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115115––––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 67.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 6–2 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Obishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Obishchenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1651 vs Khairov 1561
Obishchenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 60% vs Khairov 80%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 60% vs Khairov 80%
Khairov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +2 · Khairov +3
Khairov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Obishchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.40 / Khairov 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Obishchenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094456
Obishchenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Khairov2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 44 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeObishchenko6wins
AwayKhairov2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderObishchenko leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeObishchenko100%4 of 4
AwayKhairov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko4Khairov4n = 8split evenly
S2Obishchenko6Khairov2n = 8Obishchenko took 6 of 8
S3Obishchenko5Khairov3n = 8Obishchenko took 5 of 8
S4Obishchenko3Khairov2n = 5Obishchenko took 3 of 5
S5Obishchenko2Khairov1n = 3Obishchenko took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricObishchenkoKhairovO − KBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.132.5+5.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 133 vs 198 / 42051.1%47.1%68 / 133 vs 198 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoObishchenko 1.40/Khairov 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko—1111113D. Khairov—6550
WJun 12 · 09:35A. Obishchenko—61111113D. Khairov—116551
WMay 21 · 09:35A. Obishchenko—1111113D. Khairov—4840
WMay 14 · 09:35A. Obishchenko—115114113D. Khairov—41191192
LNov 9 · 12:05A. Obishchenko—61171182D. Khairov—118118113
WSep 27 · 05:50A. Obishchenko—8111210113D. Khairov—117101212
WAug 2 · 09:35A. Obishchenko—11119113D. Khairov—591181
LJun 28 · 05:35A. Obishchenko—10740D. Khairov—1211113
A. Obishchenko10
WSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko1.91711811113Y. Holoborodko1.8011911772LAug 20 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.805690Y. Volkov1.911111113WAug 14 · 11:05Y. Kovshun1.73611771A. Obishchenko2.0011711113WAug 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.361411113R. Sopivnyk3.0012780WAug 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.2011118113A. Troyan4.33591111LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.9191111532Y. Holoborodko1.80119911113
D. Khairov10
WSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov2.2011911123A. Troyan1.619115101WSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960WSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113
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