TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094463
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1199111151210––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 58.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 27–44 Andrey Troyan Dmytro Khairov has won 27 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-44 in 71
Troyan
Wrong
gap of 17 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1561 vs Troyan 1589
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 80% vs Troyan 100%
Troyan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 80% vs Troyan 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov +2 · Troyan +5
Troyan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 2.20 / Troyan 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Troyan)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094463
Khairov2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 44 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Troyan1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 181 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 136 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhairov7wins
AwayTroyan3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhairov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov100%4 of 4
AwayTroyan50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S2Khairov6Troyan4n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S3Khairov6Troyan4n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S4Khairov4Troyan3n = 7Khairov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhairovTroyanK − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.036.9+2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 420 vs 463 / 98047.1%47.2%198 / 420 vs 463 / 980Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanKhairov 2.20/Troyan 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov—11911123A. Troyan—9115101
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov—4580A. Troyan—1111113
WSep 2 · 06:30D. Khairov—711149123A. Troyan—1181211102
WAug 31 · 08:00D. Khairov—51111123A. Troyan—1166101
LAug 26 · 08:35D. Khairov—9159101A. Troyan—111311123
WJul 21 · 08:05D. Khairov—12118113A. Troyan—1071181
WJul 20 · 10:35D. Khairov—131111113A. Troyan—153841
WJun 29 · 11:30D. Khairov—1111113A. Troyan—8990
LJun 28 · 05:35D. Khairov—10890A. Troyan—1211113
WJun 20 · 10:35D. Khairov—128115113A. Troyan—101171142
D. Khairov10
LSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960WSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113
A. Troyan10
LSep 8 · 07:05A. Troyan2.63119117102Y. Kovshun1.44411411123WSep 7 · 11:30S. Solomko3.002670A. Troyan1.361111113WSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113
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