TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089272
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119116––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 58.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 18–23 Oleh Volynets Dmytro Khairov has won 18 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:02What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-23 in 41
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 5 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1549 vs Volynets 1448
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 60% vs Volynets 20%
Khairov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 70% vs Volynets 30%
Khairov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov +1 · Volynets -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Volynets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 2.38 / Volynets 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Volynets)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089272
Khairov2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 42 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Volynets1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 87 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it65% 56 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhairov2wins
AwayVolynets8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov33.3%2 of 6
AwayVolynets100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov6Volynets4n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S2Khairov5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S3Khairov2Volynets8n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S4Khairov1Volynets5n = 6Volynets took 5 of 6
S5Khairov0Volynets3n = 3Volynets took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhairovVolynetsK − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.4−3.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 418 vs 338 / 62347.1%54.3%197 / 418 vs 338 / 623Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsKhairov 2.38/Volynets 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 10:00D. Khairov—116951O. Volynets—81111113
WAug 31 · 09:00D. Khairov—1111113O. Volynets—4750
LAug 26 · 09:35D. Khairov—11118782O. Volynets—951111113
LAug 20 · 09:35D. Khairov—913951O. Volynets—111111113
LJun 8 · 11:35D. Khairov—4970O. Volynets—1111113
LJun 3 · 07:05D. Khairov—6860O. Volynets—1111113
LJun 1 · 10:35D. Khairov—12116762O. Volynets—1071111113
LMay 21 · 06:05D. Khairov—1111810112O. Volynets—571112133
LMay 19 · 09:00D. Khairov—119100O. Volynets—1311123
WMay 16 · 06:35D. Khairov—11816113O. Volynets—5111461
D. Khairov10
WSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441
O. Volynets10
LSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
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